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Latest developments with sources
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Turkish Energy Minister announced that he would bring part of the diesel from the Trump-Putin diesel deal to Turkey.
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US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that Starshield is currently not available for Ukraine.
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President Zelenskyy confirmed that Starlink over Ukraine continues to be throttled.
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US President Trump suspended the new Russia sanctions from the Graham Act just before they were to take effect.
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President Zelenskyy criticised the suspension of sanctions as wrong and called for new sanctions against Russia.
Summary
US President Donald Trump signed an executive order on 17 October 2026 to suspend the new Russia sanctions under the Graham Act shortly before they were due to come into force 25 ABC News12 The Guardian17 Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty21 Politico22 Fox Business512172122. The move includes far-reaching sanctions and tariffs provided for under the law supported by Senator Lindsey Graham, according to reports from Fox Business and CNN 222 CNN2. Secretary of State Marco Rubio described the suspension as a 60-day pause to review the economic impacts 12. Trump justified the decision with the national interest 2 and according to NBC News described it as a very good decision 2.
The suspension comes a few days after a controversial diesel deal between the United States and Russia that was reported on by CNBC, DW and Facebook, among others 34 CNBC19 dw.com419. CNBC placed the deal in an analysis piece whereby the agreement could open to Russia both financial benefits and strategic room for manoeuvre 4. The move was also preceded by public criticism by Trump of President Volodymyr Zelensky that led to heightened tension between Washington and Kyiv 318 i24NEWS24 The Japan Times1824.
Economy
In October 2026, US President Donald Trump announced an agreement with Russia regarding diesel deliveries to the USA with the stated goal of lowering fuel prices before the Midterm elections. The US administration then suspended Russian sanctions and issued licences for diesel imports until April 2027. The European Union responded with an unprecedented expansion of its sanctions list against the Russian military-industrial complex. However, experts from the International Energy Agency see no relaxation effect on the tight diesel market, whilst oil prices rose significantly by October. German transport associations complained about record diesel prices and additional costs, and rating agencies downgraded the ratings of French and German banks due to increased sanctions risks.
Read more in the deep dive on Economy. Trump's Diesel Deal with Putin Drives Energy Prices and Risks for Germany
Politics and Security
The Trump Administration imposed a throttling of the Starshield satellite service for Ukrainian armed forces, which impaired their drone and communications capabilities. President Trump publicly denied the measure, while other officials made differing statements. At the same time, Trump announced an alleged energy weapons ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and threatened to halt the weapons procurement system to prevent Kyiv from attacking Russian energy infrastructure. The Ukrainian government stated it was unaware of a ceasefire and announced it would continue its attacks. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom and France announced further support for Ukraine.
Read more in the deep dive on Politics and Security. Starshield blockade divides USA and Ukraine ahead of the midterms
Society and Science
Ahead of the US Midterms on 3 November 2026, polls show clear weakness among Republicans and declining approval for President Trump, whose domestic and foreign policy is rated as failed by a majority. In the USA, the desire for a swift end to the war is growing, whilst support for aid to Ukraine is declining and Democratic senators are asking questions about pauses in sanctions. In Germany and Europe, crises of trust in the USA and NATO are emerging, documented through polls and peace demonstrations. Research institutes and think tanks warn of forthcoming tensions between the USA and their European partners. The transatlantic relationship is experiencing a recalibration between shared responsibility and growing European independence.
Read more in the deep dive on Society and Science. Ahead of the midterms, Americans and Europeans lose faith in Trump
Disinformation
Russian disinformation campaigns such as Doppelgänger, Matrjoschka and Storm-1516 conduct intensive operations against western democracies, in particular against the US Midterms, German state parliament elections and the French election. These campaigns use AI-generated videos, clone European media portals with synthetic accounts and manipulate view counts through coordinated bot networks. In German-speaking areas, pro-Russian and far-right Telegram channels spread narratives in a coordinated manner that agitate against sanctions and promote a Trump peace plan with the involvement of the World Bank and BlackRock. The Rybar blog and the Russian-language Intel Slava channel operate from Berlin and support these operations. Research organisations demonstrate that Russian propaganda material infiltrates AI training data and that Meta continued to accept payments for Russian propaganda content despite sanctions.
Read more in the deep dive on Disinformation. Russian disinformation on sanctions, Diesel deal and Starshield
Ukraine Criticises Sanctions Suspension
Zelenskyy described the suspension of sanctions as wrong 225 CNBC25 and according to The Guardian spoke of a "gift" or a "reward" for Russian President Vladimir Putin 6. He called for support for new US sanctions against Russia 911 AP News23 Spectrum News1123. Additionally, Zelenskyy accused Washington of a "planned operation" against Ukraine and stated that Starlink would continue to be throttled over Ukrainian territory 29. Foreign Minister Rubio stated in response that Starshield was "currently not available for Ukraine" 26. The Franco-Israeli broadcaster i24NEWS reported on 18 October on Zelenskyy's condemnation of the suspension 14.
The left-liberal British newspaper The Guardian classified the deal in an editorial as "bleak and shabby, but not game-changing" and called on Kyiv's European allies to show the Kremlin that "American disloyalty" would not change the course of the war 1.
Bipartisan Criticism in the US Congress
The decision met with bipartisan criticism. US Republicans condemned Trump's suspension of the new Russia sanctions 28. Senator Lindsey Graham, namesake of the legislation, expressed criticism of Trump's move and stated according to The Hill that he looked forward to a conversation with the President 1315 The New York Times15. Democratic minority leader Chuck Schumer spoke of a "gift to Putin" 28. Democratic representative Gregory Meeks published a statement on the suspension 30.
International Reactions and Energy Shifts
The Turkish Energy Minister announced plans to bring some of the diesel from the US-Russian deal into Turkey. The Qatari state-aligned broadcaster Al Jazeera posed the question in a report of whether Europe would continue to purchase Russian gas despite the US easing of restrictions 16. The British think tank Chatham House, cited via an X account, raised the question in an analysis of whether Europe would provide the necessary support to Ukraine following the diesel deal (claim source, only reported with attribution) 7.
Time Magazine and the Japan Times assessed the consequences of the suspension for Ukraine 824 The Japan Times24. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and EA WorldView reported on the refusal of the US government to implement the new sanctions 1720 EA WorldView20. Vatican News reported on the suspension in the context of deadly attacks on Ukraine 10.
Drone Attack and Starlink Throttling
Domestic Protests in the USA
In the USA, nationwide No-Kings protests against Trump took place on 18 October 2026. The midterm elections (Midterms) are scheduled for 3 November 2026.
Sources analysed for this situation, by number of news items
This overview shows which sources the Monitor analysed for this situation. Being listed is neither an assessment nor an endorsement.
WebCNBC EN 7
News items from this source (7) news.google.com
- Trump waives broad new Russia sanctions, Zelenskyy condemns it as 'wrong' - CNBC
- Trump's Russia diesel deal may offer Putin more than money — and spell trouble for Ukraine - CNBC
- Trump's Russia diesel deal may offer Putin more than money - and spell trouble for Ukraine
- Trump says White House didn't order Starlink restrictions in Ukraine
- Trump's diesel deal with Russia equals less than two weeks of U.S. demand
- Trump defends Russia diesel deal after bipartisan pushback: 'I made the right choice'
- Trump strikes deal with Putin to supply Russian diesel to U.S. and global markets
WebDeutsche Welle DE 7
News items from this source (7) www.dw.com
- Trump zu Starlink-Drosselung: "Das habe ich nicht getan"
- Ukraine-Krieg: Trump sieht Selenskyj als Friedenshindernis
- Trumps schlechter Deal mit Putin: Darum bleibt Diesel teuer
- Ukraine-Krieg: Trumps Diesel-Deal mit Russland und die Folgen
- Angriffe trotz "Energie-Waffenruhe" in der Ukraine
- Warum Starlink für die Ukraine so wichtig ist
- Starlink: Eine Weltraumfirma beeinflusst die Geopolitik
WebFAZ DE 6
News items from this source (6) www.faz.net
- Business-Ticker: Die Türkei will Diesel aus dem Trump-Putin-Deal beziehen
- Liveblog Ukrainekrieg: Rubio: Starshield „im Moment für die Ukraine nicht verfügbar“
- USA unter Trump: „No Kings“: Proteste gegen Trump vor den Midterms
- US-Midterms 2026: Bekommt Trump die Quittung? Das sagen die Umfragen
- Russland bombt, und Trump erhöht den Druck auf Kiew - FAZ
- Donald Trump und Wladimir Putin: Diesel-Deal mit Folgen - FAZ
WebAl Jazeera EN 5
News items from this source (5) www.aljazeera.com
- Rubio says Ukraine without access to Starshield, future 'under discussion'
- Trump faces bipartisan backlash over Russia sanctions waiver - Al Jazeera
- Trump eases Russia oil sanctions, but is Europe still buying Moscow’s gas? - Al Jazeera
- Trump puts on hold new Russia sanctions he signed into law - Al Jazeera
- Trump eases Russia oil sanctions, but is Europe still buying Moscow's gas?
Webn-tv Politik DE 4
News items from this source (4) www.n-tv.de
- Von New York bis Los Angeles: Landesweite "No Kings"-Proteste - Tausende US-Bürger demonstrieren gegen Trump
- Diesel-Deal mit Putin: Trump fällt Selenskyj in den Rücken, um vom eigenen Krieg abzulenken
- "Völlig unverantwortlich": Parteikollegen geißeln Trumps Russland-Kurs
- Für Angriffe und Abwehr wichtig: Selenskyj: Starlink über Ukraine weiterhin gedrosselt
WebAtlantic Council (RSS) EN 4
News items from this source (4) www.atlanticcouncil.org
WebThe Guardian EN 3
News items from this source (3) news.google.com
- Ukraine war briefing: Trump’s sanctions waiver is a ‘60-day pause’ to analyse economic impact, says Rubio - The Guardian
- Trump’s pause on Russia sanctions is ‘reward’ for Putin, Zelenskyy says - The Guardian
- Trump pauses new Russia sanctions passed by Congress amid deepening row with Ukraine - The Guardian
WebORF DE 3
News items from this source (3) news.google.com
WebNPR EN 3
WebT-Online DE 3
News items from this source (3) news.google.com
WebWELT DE 3
News items from this source (3) news.google.com
- Ukraine-Krieg: Selenskyj brüskiert Trump und kündigt neue Angriffe auf russische Raffinerien an - WELT
- USA: Senatoren werfen Trump „Verrat“ vor und fordern Ausstieg aus Diesel-Deal mit Putin - WELT
- 300.000 Tonnen sofort: Trump kündigt Diesel-Deal mit Putin an – US-Regierung lockert Sanktionen - WELT
WebSpiegel DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.spiegel.de
WebRadio Free Europe/Radio Liberty EN 2
Webi24NEWS EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebReuters EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebAP News EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebThe New York Times EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebVietnam.vn ZH/PL 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebCNN EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebCouncil on Foreign Relations EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebSZ.de DE 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebZDFheute DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.zdfheute.de
WebChatham House EN 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
Webdw.com EN/DE 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebBundesregierung DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.bundesregierung.de
WebTagesspiegel DE 2
WebHandelsblatt DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.handelsblatt.com
Webn-tv.de DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebBBC EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebThe Hill EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebFacebook EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebTime Magazine EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebNBC News EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Webtagesschau DE 1
News items from this source (1) www.tagesschau.de
WebBloomberg Markets EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.bloomberg.com
WebHouse.gov EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebVatican News EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebSpectrum News EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebEA WorldView EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebThe Japan Times EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebHromadske UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebPolitico EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebFox Business EN 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebTIME EN 1
News items from this source (1) time.com
WebBloomberg EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.bloomberg.com
WebABC News EN 1
News items from this source (1) abcnews.com
WebCBS News EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.cbsnews.com
WebRFE/RL EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.rferl.org
WebLenta.ru RU 1
News items from this source (1) lenta.ru
WebTSN UK 1
News items from this source (1) tsn.ua
WebUkrainska Pravda EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.pravda.com.ua
WebEvrensel TR 1
News items from this source (1) evrensel.net
WebForbes Ukraine UK 1
News items from this source (1) forbes.ua
WebEnergetyka24 PL 1
News items from this source (1) energetyka24.com
WebNewsFlix DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebFOCUS online DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebGuardian Politics EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.theguardian.com
WebJoyn DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebKyiv Independent EN 1
News items from this source (1) kyivindependent.com
WebCarnegie Endowment RU 1
News items from this source (1) carnegieendowment.org
WebManager Plus PL 1
News items from this source (1) managerplus.pl
WebSputnik China ZH 1
News items from this source (1) big5.sputniknews.cn
WebVerkehrsrundschau DE 1
News items from this source (1) www.verkehrsrundschau.de
WebBlick DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebKurier DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebMeduza RU 1
News items from this source (1) meduza.io
WebNews.by RU 1
News items from this source (1) news.by
WebAydınlık TR 1
News items from this source (1) www.aydinlik.com.tr
WebXinhua ZH 1
News items from this source (1) www.news.cn
WebBerliner Zeitung DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebVesty.co.il RU 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebFrance 24 EN 1
News items from this source (1) www.france24.com
WebVedomosti RU 1
News items from this source (1) www.vedomosti.ru
Webтеплодар.biz.ua UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebГал-Інфо UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebZonebourse FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Webborgexpert.com UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Webtv5monde FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebГолос України UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebНовинарня UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebОстанній Бастіон UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebForbes.ua UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebФакти ICTV UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebСлово і Діло UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebOBOZ.UA UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebАпостроф UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebІА Король Данило UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebВарта 1 UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Webuatv.ua UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebДзеркало тижня UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebMY.UA UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebНовини bigmir)net UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebUAinfo UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebРБК-Україна UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebТелеканал Дім UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebLIGA.net UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebThe European Times FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebУкрінформ - актуальні новини України та світу UK 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebThe Times of Israël FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebAfrican Manager FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebLa Nouvelle Tribune FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebL'Express FR 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Cited sources
Footnotes from the report
- [1] Guardian Politics https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/oct/14/the-guardian-view-on-trumps ...
- [2] CNN https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE5qaWtBMTJUektROUliNk4wT3NfUkp1 ...
- [3] Facebook https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi4AFBVV95cUxNSzZLeFBzZS11VElEaE1lcGw0X2s2 ...
- [4] CNBC https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE4yUlZma192R0hueHd1UmlZMXFPTTNx ...
- [5] ABC News https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNaExZUlBtbDZ3YXN2cGZ0Z0RMRVcx ...
- [6] The Guardian https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxOcVJVYkJ2aENjcjBpOGo4YUNUS01p ...
- [7] Chatham House https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNNHNLZnVEbzdIaGpJUGNRckZIcGw1 ...
- [8] Time Magazine https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxOV21aTUJQWE4xclNZRExrLVpPNVFm ...
- [9] NPR https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMickFVX3lxTE50MGlLYl9jeVFRcDdiaWJaSWtUdkpo ...
- [10] Vatican News https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxQUWM0U1pSZlpoaXBTT1dYNnhMTXZq ...
- [11] AP News https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxOUGNSbDZNbm5wY2VNaTRTRDZiMHFq ...
- [12] The Guardian https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1AFBVV95cUxOX2luakxEaEVyTXo5MTktaTdoVzd4 ...
- [13] The Hill https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxNYnA5ejQwSUVIWkVtS0JEaThKQ2hZ ...
- [14] i24NEWS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggJBVV95cUxPQ2ItOFhQMWJKMGFnYkFGbC1KdE1r ...
- [15] The New York Times https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxQN0xxdGlST1lPUUZIZzZ1NGkwWS1k ...
- [16] Al Jazeera https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxOb2J3andQTW1UOC1yU3dPTUdSZHB2 ...
- [17] Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxQNHl0eDF4NHNPcHZReGM0bmRvYkxF ...
- [18] i24NEWS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiywFBVV95cUxPOTQyMkVoNTk2Sy16UlF1SExUYTV3 ...
- [19] dw.com https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQeE9BaGZPMEhLNFBrMW1BTVd0T1Vw ...
- [20] EA WorldView https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxNT1R1ZVEzUW9oaXY3ZlMySHZxWVhf ...
- [21] Politico https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwFBVV95cUxNb2tsZ2VhNUJDSGh1RHJ3WUdIZUli ...
- [22] Fox Business https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNM2hWeUNPZ1JiQ29zcmlfTWhvYjY0 ...
- [23] Spectrum News https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxONklwVFg4SXplbXN6eWs0Ml9zVnk4 ...
- [24] The Japan Times https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxNdlM1MWlhSnBEUnZPV1R4QjNlMF9M ...
- [25] CNBC https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxPUGhWanJQQmg3UlEwNlI3MDRGLWRx ...
- [26] FAZ https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ukraine/ukraine-liveticker-rubio-starshield-i ...
- [28] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Parteikollegen-geisseln-Trumps-Russland-Kurs-id314300 ...
- [29] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Streit-zwischen-USA-und-Ukraine-Starlink-laut-Selensk ...
- [30] House.gov https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxOWk54eDcyRjh1QUkyU0ZoR3gtY2hU ...