Deep dive Disinformation

Russian disinformation on sanctions, Diesel deal and Starshield

Russian state media and propaganda networks spread coordinated narratives about sanctions, the diesel deal and Starshield. The Doppelgänger and Matrjoschka campaigns are active in German-speaking regions and aim to sow doubt about the Western course. Fact-checking organisations document false claims about prices and causes.

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  • 101 sources
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Russian influence operations since 2022

The Doppelgänger campaign, which has been running since 2022, clones European leading media outlets and distributes content via synthetic accounts. Storm-1516 uses AI-generated deepfakes and receives support from an ecosystem financed by the Russian military intelligence service GRU, which includes the Social Design Agency, RT and Telegram channels 28. According to a German cognitive resilience assessment document, the Foreign Office's first public attribution of Storm-1516 is stated as February and March 2025. This claim is disputed as multiple official sources date the formal public attribution to 12 December 2025 28.

The Matrjoschka/Overload campaign uses fake media videos in which logos of established media outlets are misused. Correctiv documented a fake CORRECTIV video as early as March 2026, with traces pointing to the Russian influence campaign Overload/Matrjoschka 15. NewsGuard presented a ten-year review of Russian disinformation on 1 September 2026 that catalogues key actors and techniques 48. The Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) described pro-Kremlin ecosystems in Europe on 1 May 2026 and on 20 February 2026 revealed a coordinated disinformation network that deliberately deployed AI and media imitation against the German election 4546 Institute for Strategic Dialogue.

DFRLab presented early evidence on 8 April 2026 under the title "Pravda in the Pipeline" that state-aligned Russian propaganda material has leaked into AI training data 47. Research organisation CheckFirst documented on 10 June 2026 that Meta accepted payments for Russian propaganda content despite sanctions 49. The German Bundestag published parliamentary document 21/5967 on 15 May 2026 on Russian influence and disinformation 50. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution describes threats from Russian espionage, sabotage and disinformation in a background paper from 15 July 2026 1. Correctiv reported on 24 September 2026 that the Russian war channel Rybar operates from Berlin 13.

The course of events falls within the period before the US midterms on 3 November 2026 and is shaped by the Trump-Putin deal over Russian diesel that PBS NewsHour reported on 10 October 2026, as well as by the suspension of the Graham sanctions package on 17 October 2026 2034 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin36 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell. Elon Musk's role as a major donor in the US election campaign represents another background factor. On 13 October 2026, the Ukrainian aggregator АНТИКОР reported in Russian that Musk had invested 366 million US dollars in US elections, of which 276 million in the past few months alone.

The figure comes from a claimed source and has not been independently verified in the examined material 54. According to an analysis by the Kyiv Independent from 16 October 2026, the situation in the European far-right camp is shifting. France's Rassemblement National and Nigel Farage have hardened their rhetoric against Moscow, whilst the AfD in Germany is moving in the opposite direction. The Kyiv Independent is a Ukrainian claimed source that substantively references the experts it interviewed 56.

Network of actors from Russia and the West

According to the reporting available, the Russian state media outlets RT and Sputnik, the state agency RIA Novosti, Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels such as Rybar and Intel Slava, the GRU-funded Social Design Agency, the Storm-1516 contractors and the Doppelgänger campaign network 1023 RT English24 RIA Novosti28 AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 2)38 Telegram: Intel Slava39 Telegram/Rybar operate on the Russian side. In its report from 16 October 2026, Alethea names Operation Doppelgänger as a central Russian influence network targeting the US Midterms, Israel's election and France's 2027 presidential race 10. On 16 September 2026, Graphika described a Russia-aligned influence operation aimed at candidates in the US Midterms and German state elections 44.

European analysts and German security agencies

Those involved on the European and Western analysis side include EUvsDisinfo, operating as a project of the European External Action Service 618 EUvsDisinfo60 X: @EUvsDisinfo, the US analysis company Alethea 10, the analysis firm Graphika 44, the specialist institute CeMAS for monitoring and analysis 12, the investigative fact-checking editorial office Correctiv 1315 Correctiv17 Correctiv, the Austrian fact-checking organisation Mimikama 25, the European specialist portal polisphere 21, the specialist medium Table.Briefings 22, the think tank Carnegie Endowment 14, the Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) 4546 Institute for Strategic Dialogue, DFRLab 47, NewsGuard 48, CheckFirst 49, the US institute Institute for the Study of War (ISW) operating via the X account @TheStudyofWar 34 X: @TheStudyofWar and the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) 5.

On the German authorities and parliamentary side, the background paper names the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution 1. The German Bundestag published its own printed document on influence operations 50. According to the stocktaking document, the Federal Ministry of the Interior's ZEAM centre, the BND and the Foreign Office are also involved 2930 AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 4). Expert voices on social media include Russia expert Mark Galeotti 61, Munich military professor Carlo Masala 6263 X: @ChristopherJM64 X: @CarloMasala165 X: @JenniferJJacobs, author Nico Lange who specialises in Eastern European security 5566 X: @JimmySecUK67 X: @nicolange_ and defence journalist Jimmy Rushton 66.

Reporting from the USA

PBS NewsHour 20, NBC News 19, CNN 5157 CNN and WirtschaftsWoche 31 report on current US developments. According to Correctiv, recipients and multipliers in the German-speaking area are circles close to the AfD and BSW 17. Claim sources in this milieu include the state-aligned Telegram channel Eva Herman Offiziell 2736 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell, the far-right COMPACT magazine 3435 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin40 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin41 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin42 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin, the Saxony far-right channel Freie Sachsen 3233 Telegram: Freie Sachsen, AfD politician Björn Höcke 37, the state-aligned Austrian Telegram channel AUF1 5258 Telegram: AUF1 and the neo-Nazi channel Der III.

Weg 5359 Telegram: Der III. Weg. Russian-language claim sources include RT English 23, RIA Novosti 24, the pro-Kremlin military blog Rybar 39, the Russian-language military channel Intel Slava 38 and the Ukrainian aggregator АНТИКОР 54, along with the Ukrainian aggregator Перший бізнесовий with a Russian-language rendering of a US intelligence warning 43. The Telegram channels The Kyiv Independent and OSINTdefender are formally classified as claim sources in automated categorisation, though they substantively reproduce reporting from Ukrainian and OSINT-adjacent editorial offices 5668 Telegram: OSINTdefender69 Telegram: The Kyiv Independent70 Telegram: The Kyiv Independent.

The US change of course towards Russia and Ukraine

According to PBS NewsHour, President Trump concluded a deal with Putin concerning Russian diesel on 10 October 2026, which several US media outlets classified as a clear reversal of US sanctions policy before the midterms 20. WirtschaftsWoche commented on the threats following the diesel deal on 14 October 2026 in a market-liberal article 31. A week later, on 17 October 2026, Trump suspended the sanctions package of the Graham Act two days before its planned entry into force and informed Congress that the suspension was in the national interest.

The order lifts the 500 percent tariffs on Russian goods and the 100 percent secondary tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil and gas. The suspension remains in place until Trump or Rubio decide that further measures are appropriate 3436 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell. Independent journalistic confirmation of the details of the order existed in the examined material at the reference date only via the far-right COMPACT magazine and via pro-Russian Telegram channels and must therefore be treated as a claim.

Trump's position towards Kyiv hardened considerably during the examined period. On 10 October 2026, Trump stated, according to a statement cited by Jennifer Jacobs on X, that Selenskyj should stop Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries because they drove up diesel prices and harmed US farmers, and that it was time for Ukraine to get a new president. Carlo Masala commented on this on X with Groundhog Day 6465 X: @JenniferJJacobs. On 11 October 2026, Trump announced, according to a statement directly cited by Mark Galeotti, an energy ceasefire that took immediate effect and to which both sides had agreed.

Galeotti referred to his podcast Diesel and Delusion and described the announcement as Trump's belated birthday present to Putin 61. Ukraine had no information about the ceasefire at the time of the announcement, as Christopher Miller and Carlo Masala reported, citing a senior Ukrainian official, to the Financial Times 6263 X: @ChristopherJM. Trump followed up on 17 October 2026 when, according to the Austrian Telegram channel AUF1, he attacked Selenskyj again directly and stated that Selenskyj was more difficult than Putin, did not want a real deal and had destroyed the country. Trump called the resumed Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries a disgrace. AUF1 is a state-aligned claim source 58.

NBC News reported on 17 October 2026 that new Starlink restrictions were disrupting the Ukrainian military amid intelligence gaps and disputes with Trump 19. CNN published an analysis on 16 October 2026 in which Trump denied having interfered in Elon Musk's Starshield in Ukraine and described this in the context of deteriorating relations with Selenskyj 5157 CNN. A contradiction exists regarding the Starshield situation. The Institute for the Study of War reported on 15 October 2026 about the restoration of unrestricted Starshield access following speed restrictions during movement 3.

Nico Lange also shared on X on 15 October 2026 that the limitation of Starshield/Starlink connections seemed to be lifted again, but everything remained mysterious because no one in the Trump administration was taking responsibility 67. By contrast, President Selenskyj confirmed, according to a report relayed by Nico Lange on 17 October 2026, that Ukraine's Starshield terminals continued to not function properly and Ukrainian interceptor drones against Russian jet-powered drones targeting civilians remained deactivated 66.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated, according to a RIA Novosti report from 18 October 2026, that Starshield was currently not available to Ukraine 24. According to an Axios report cited verbatim by the Russian-language military channel Intel Slava on 18 October 2026, Ukrainian representatives cannot clarify whether the restrictions were ordered by the Trump administration or by Elon Musk. A source at SpaceX spoke of a technical cause.

Internal SpaceX sources attributed the decision to the White House. The White House pointed to Musk. Musk personally suggested a restriction on satellite operations according to The Telegraph. Trump did not object. The White House denied it. Starlink had functioned continuously 38. The Kyiv Independent reported on 18 October 2026 that Selenskyj had spoken with Trump's peace envoy and stated that much depended on America's position whilst the US was moving to Moscow's side. The Kyiv Independent also classified Starlink dependency as a weakness of the Ukrainian drone campaign 6970 Telegram: The Kyiv Independent.

On the disinformation side, Alethea published the report Operation Doppelgänger: Insight into the Russian Influence Network Against the US Midterms, Israel's Election and France's Race 2027 on 16 October 2026 10. Bloomberg reported on 16 October 2026 that Russian bots were manipulating view counts of fake videos before the US midterms 11. Graphika published an analysis on 16 September 2026 of a Russia-aligned influence operation targeting US midterm candidates and German state election candidates 44.

The Ukrainian aggregator Перший бізнесовий relayed on 20 September 2026 a US intelligence warning in Russian stating that Russia was preparing to interfere in US elections and was expanding influence operations. The representation is a claim source without evidentiary value 43. CeMAS documented over 2.8 million impressions per wave in the Doppelgänger campaign on X, according to a CeMAS blog post from 4 September 2026 on Operation Overload/Matryoshka and the assessment document 1228 AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 2).

The Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) supplemented the European perspective with a report from 1 May 2026 on pro-Kremlin ecosystems in Europe 45 and with an analysis from 20 February 2026 on an AI-backed coordinated disinformation network targeting the German election 46. NewsGuard published a ten-year assessment of Russian disinformation on 1 September 2026 48. DFRLab showed early evidence on 8 April 2026 that state-aligned Russian propaganda material was represented in AI training data 47.

CheckFirst documented on 10 June 2026 that Meta accepted payments for Russian propaganda content despite sanctions 49. The German Bundestag published Bundestag Paper 21/5967 on Russian interference and disinformation on 15 May 2026 50.

EUvsDisinfo highlighted on X on 8 October 2026 that the Kremlin narrative required an apparent collapse of Europe so that the continuation of sanctions could be presented as pointless, although this account was factually incorrect 60. EUvsDisinfo also stated on 11 October 2026 that the Kremlin continued to falsely claim that Ukrainian women were being mobilised. EUvsDisinfo points out that this narrative has been recycled repeatedly since the start of the war, including the earlier claim that pregnant women were being sent to the front on bicycles 6.

The Institute for the Study of War reported on X on 16 October 2026 that senior Kremlin representatives rejected any concept of an energy ceasefire and had offered no concessions in peace negotiations 3. ISW formulated on 14 October 2026 the central lesson that Ukraine's partners must recognise the Kremlin strategy of disrupting Ukrainian and Western initiative and respond to it 4. RUSI published on X on 14 October 2026 the indication that following Ukrainian attacks on Yandex data centres, automated data traffic had declined according to Cloudflare data.

However, RUSI analyst Jarnecki warned that it was unclear how strongly Russian disinformation relied on Yandex infrastructure 5. @RALee85 pointed out on 13 October 2026 that there was no evidence for a pause in US intelligence sharing with Ukraine, despite corresponding speculation on Twitter and Telegram 78 X: @RALee85.

For the German-speaking region, t-online reported on 13 October 2026 that Russian sources had been mixing in AI disinformation in German elections 16. polisphere described on 30 September 2026 that Storm-1516 was increasingly targeting France and Germany 21. Carnegie Endowment analysed on 14 October 2026 the Kremlin's AI propaganda campaign under the title The Noise is the Signal 14. Table.Briefings documented on 28 August 2026 a CeMAS study on the discrediting of German development policy through Russian disinformation 22.

Correctiv showed on 9 September 2026 the risks of a pro-Russian bloc from AfD and BSW in Saxony-Anhalt 17. France 24 described on 14 October 2026 the established methods of Russian disinformation through Matryoshka and Storm-1516 2. InsightNews classified on 22 September 2026 Russian disinformation as a structural threat to Europe 2026 26. Mimikama reported on 15 September 2026 about fake media videos of the Matryoshka campaign in the election campaign 25.

The author Nico Lange, who specialises in Eastern European security, classified on X on 9 October 2026 the motion brought jointly by AfD and BSW in the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament on peace talks instead of escalation of the war in Ukraine and contradicted its premise by pointing out that Russia was the aggressor and was not prepared for a ceasefire 55.

Narratives in Kremlin media and extreme channels

RT English interpreted the Trump-Putin diesel deal on 12 October 2026 under the headline of a division of the West. RT is a Russian state medium and should be classified as a claim source without evidential value 23. The Russian state agency RIA Novosti reported on 18 October 2026 that Rubio had spoken of Kyiv requests to grant Starshield access for attacks on Russia. The report is a Russian state media attribution, while Rubio's statement that Starshield is currently not available to Ukraine is backed by several agencies 24.

The pro-Kremlin military blog Rybar commented on 14 October 2026 on the diesel deal and the Starshield situation 39. Rybar operates from Berlin according to Correctiv 13. The Russian-language military channel Intel Slava reproduced word for word on 18 October 2026 the Axios report on the unclear jurisdiction between the Trump administration and Musk 38. The Ukrainian aggregator АНТИКОР distributed on 13 October 2026 in Russian the assertion that Elon Musk had invested 366 million US dollars in US elections, of which 276 million in a few months. The assertion requires independent verification 54.

In the German-language claim space, several channels are spreading narratives in a coordinated manner against EU sanctions and for the Trump line. The state-proximate Telegram channel Eva Herman Offiziell took up Rubio's Starshield statement on 18 October 2026 with the assertion that Ukraine was left without military protection 27. On the same day it reported that Trump was putting the Russia sanctions package on ice and lifting the 500 per cent tariffs of the Graham law and the 100 per cent secondary tariffs 36.

The far-right COMPACT magazine presented the proceedings on 18 October 2026 as a sensation and simultaneously promoted a Putin Patriots silver medal 34. On 18 October 2026 it took up the line Merz denies cheap diesel and the narrative of damaging German sanctions policy 41. It claimed on 16 October 2026 that the extension of sanctions against Berlin journalist Hüseyin Dogru effectively abolished press freedom 35. On 15 October 2026 it presented the Nord Stream trial as evidence that mainstream reporting was concealing 42.

On 18 October 2026 it classified an incident at Frankfurt airport as the next fake story with supposed Russia ties 40. COMPACT is to be classified as state-proximate and treated as having low reliability. The Saxon far-right channel Freie Sachsen reported on 13 October 2026 that the EU foreign ministers had decided on a sanctions package that would impose penalties on 1600 people and seize Russian funds 33. On the same day it called for Druschba Tuesday with 15 per cent discount on Saxon-Russian friendship flags 32.

AfD politician Björn Höcke declared on 15 October 2026 on Telegram that sanctions policy and weapons deliveries had failed and were harming the German economy. He called for a federal council initiative from his state for peace talks 37.

The state-proximate Austrian Telegram channel AUF1 supplemented the spectrum on 16 and 17 October 2026 with two central narratives. On 16 October 2026 AUF1 claimed by reference to the Washington Post that Trump was working on a Ukraine peace plan in which the World Bank and BlackRock would take a central role in reconstruction, that NATO would assure Ukraine of support in the event of another Russian attack, that the war would be frozen along the existing front line and that the occupied Donbas territories would fall to Russia.

In return the economic relationship between the EU and Russia would be normalised 52. AUF1 is a state-proximate claim source and the original Washington Post report is missing from the material. On 17 October 2026 AUF1 distributed Trump's damning verdict You have destroyed this country about Zelenskyj and the linking of Ukrainian refinery attacks to higher world market prices 58. The neo-Nazi channel Der III. Weg presented on 15 October 2026 Trump's diesel deal and the demand for a new Ukrainian president in the same reading and described the US president as decrepit 53.

On 1 October 2026 it reported the deletion of Russian billionaires Alisher Usmanov and Mikhail Fridman from the EU sanctions list as a rotten compromise 59. Both channels are to be classified as far-right or state-proximate respectively.

On X several non-Russian claim sources commented on Kremlin-proximate narratives. @TheStudyofWar, the X account of the Institute for the Study of War, emphasised on 16 October 2026 that senior Kremlin representatives rejected every concept of an energy ceasefire. On 14 October 2026 it stressed that Ukraine's partners must recognise the Kremlin strategy of disrupting its initiative 34 X: @TheStudyofWar. @EUvsDisinfo, the X account of the EEAS project, explained on 11 October 2026 that the Kremlin continued to falsely claim that Ukrainian women were being mobilised.

On 8 October 2026 it noted that the Kremlin narrative needed an alleged collapse of Europe as a reason to present sanctions as pointless 660 X: @EUvsDisinfo. @RALee85 rejected on 13 October 2026 claims on Twitter and Telegram that the USA had suspended intelligence sharing with Ukraine. It classified the delay of an air alert in Kyiv on 12 October 2026 as an occurrence that had happened multiple times since 2022 78 X: @RALee85. @RUSI_org referred on 14 October 2026 to Cloudflare data on a decline in automated data traffic following Ukrainian attacks on Yandex data centres.

However it warned against premature conclusions about the dependence of Russian disinformation on Yandex infrastructure 5. Mark Galeotti classified on 11 October 2026 Trump's energy ceasefire announcement with scepticism and described it in his podcast as Trump's belated birthday present to Putin 61. Carlo Masala pointed out on 11 October 2026 with reference to Christopher Miller that Ukraine had no knowledge of a ceasefire. On 10 October 2026 it commented on Trump's attack on Zelenskyj with Groundhog Day 6263 X: @ChristopherJM64 X: @CarloMasala165 X: @JenniferJJacobs.

Nico Lange disagreed on 9 October 2026 with the premise of the AfD/BSW motion in the Landtag Saxony-Anhalt by pointing out that Russia was the aggressor, not Ukraine 55. The aggregator RTVI.US repeated on 4 September 2026 in Russian the assertion that Trump was sending ICE agents to elections and that the USA had taken over Venezuelan oil 9. Independent confirmation of this assertion is not present in the available evidence.

In Ukrainian reporting the Kyiv Independent documented on 15 October 2026 via the Telegram channel OSINTdefender the support of Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries by EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas as legitimate self-defence 68. On 16 October 2026 it classified the division of the European Right in dealing with Moscow. Rassemblement National and Nigel Farage hardened their Russia rhetoric while the AfD in Germany pursued the opposite course 56.

Assessment of developments and disinformation

The picture of a US policy shift converging with an intensified Russian influence operation ahead of the midterms is becoming clearer. The diesel deal and its classification as a policy reversal are documented 2031 WirtschaftsWoche, as well as the unavailability of Starshield for Ukraine as of 18 October 2026 according to Rubio's statement 2427 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell. With the CNN analysis from 16 October 2026, that Trump denies interference in Starshield whilst relations with Zelenskyy are breaking down, there is now for the first time an independent Western quality source on the Starshield responsibility questions 5157 CNN.

This supports the portrayal of unclear responsibility between the Trump administration and Musk alongside Axios, NBC and The Telegraph 1938 Telegram: Intel Slava. In the material examined, Trump's suspension of the Graham sanctions package continues to be reported only via pro-Russian Telegram channels and COMPACT, and therefore has not yet been reported in a quality outlet 3436 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell. Independent verification by quality media or primary sources is urgently needed before the claim can be presented as fact. Regarding Starshield access after speed restrictions, there is an open contradiction between ISW and Nico Lange and Zelenskyy 366 X: @JimmySecUK67 X: @nicolange_.

Trump's action against Zelenskyy is documented through Jennifer Jacobs quotes from 10 October 2026, and was publicly assessed by experts such as Carlo Masala and Mark Galeotti 6162 X: @CarloMasala163 X: @ChristopherJM64 X: @CarloMasala165 X: @JenniferJJacobs. The escalations of these statements amplified by AUF1 and Der III. Weg on 15 and 17 October 2026 serve primarily to delegitimise Kyiv in German speaking spaces and must be labelled as claim sources 5358 Telegram: AUF1. Trump's energy ceasefire announcement from 11 October 2026 is supported by the Galeotti citation as well as Financial Times reporting on Masala and Christopher Miller 6162 X: @CarloMasala163 X: @ChristopherJM, whilst the Ukrainian side was not informed according to its own account. No legally enforceable ceasefire agreement appears in the sources examined.

In the disinformation section, it is documented that Alethea describes the Russian influence network Doppelgänger on 16 October 2026 as being directed against the US midterms, Israel's election and France's 2027 race 10, and Bloomberg documents manipulation of view counts of fake videos by Russian bots 11. The Graphika report from 16 September 2026 provides a second independent expert analysis of a Russia aligned influence operation against US midterm candidates and German state elections 44.

The analyses by the Institute for Strategic Dialogue on pro-Kremlin ecosystems in Europe and on an AI enabled coordinated disinformation network against the German election 4546 Institute for Strategic Dialogue, the NewsGuard assessment 48, the DFRLab analysis of Pravda material in AI training data 47, the CheckFirst documentation of Meta payments to Russian propaganda channels 49 and Bundestag paper 21/5967 50 together paint a consistent, multiply supported picture of the AI enabled Russian campaign landscape.

The CeMAS figure of over 2.8 million views per wave appears in two outlets 1228 AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 2). The attribution of Storm-1516 by the Foreign Office in February and March 2025 is refuted by evidence review. The formal public attribution dates to 12 December 2025.

In German speaking claim spaces, Freie Sachsen, COMPACT Magazine, Eva Herman Official, Björn Höcke, AUF1, Der III. Weg and Rybar coordinatedly serve the expected narratives of Western division, energy and economic war to Germany's detriment, end of Ukraine aid and a Trump peace plan involving the World Bank and BlackRock, and connect to real US decisions 3233 Telegram: Freie Sachsen34 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin35 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin36 Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell37 Telegram: Björn Höcke39 Telegram/Rybar41 Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin52 Telegram: AUF153 Telegram: Der III. Weg58 Telegram: AUF159 Telegram: Der III. Weg. Freie Sachsen connects EU sanctions policy with commercial marketing of Saxon Russian friendship symbolism.

COMPACT connects the Trump line with offers of a Putin patriots medal. Höcke translates the narratives into a parliamentary demand for peace talks. AUF1 and Der III. Weg interlock Trump's escalations against Zelenskyy with the BlackRock narrative. These patterns correspond to the distribution channels described by CeMAS, ISD, Correctiv and Carnegie 1213 Correctiv14 Carnegie Endowment17 Correctiv22 Table.Briefings45 Institute for Strategic Dialogue46 Institute for Strategic Dialogue. The Kyiv Independent analysis of the divided European right indicates that the AfD occupies a special position within the European spectrum and does not reconsider its proximity to Moscow as the National Rally or Farage do 56.

Further developments regarding the Starshield question, the reach of Doppelgänger ahead of the midterms, independent verification of the sanctions suspension order signed by Trump, the alleged BlackRock peace plan and the response of German authorities are to be expected in the coming weeks.

Sources analysed for this situation, by number of news items

220 news items from 101 sources
Web 56Telegram 35X 10RU 76EN 75DE 64UK 4FR 1

This overview shows which sources the Monitor analysed for this situation. Being listed is neither an assessment nor an endorsement.

XX: @EUvsDisinfo EN 18

News items from this source (18) x.com

TelegramTelegram: COMPACT-Magazin DE 9
TelegramTelegram: AUF1 DE 9
XX: @CarloMasala1 DE 9
TelegramTelegram: ВЕДОМОСТИ RU 8
TelegramTelegram: The Moscow Times (EN) RU 6
TelegramTelegram: Интерфакс RU 5
TelegramTelegram: The Kyiv Independent EN 5
TelegramTelegram: Медуза — LIVE RU 5
TelegramTelegram: Meduza in English RU 5
XX: @shashj EN 5
TelegramTelegram: Dmitry Medvedev RU 5
TelegramTelegram: РБК. Новости. Главное RU 4
XX: @nicolange_ DE 4
TelegramTelegram: RIA Novosti 🇷🇺 (Deutsch) RU 4
TelegramTelegram: Freie Sachsen DE 4
TelegramTelegram: ТАСС RU 3
TelegramTelegram: Hallo Meinung - Interessenvertretung Bürgerforum DE 3
WebCorrectiv DE 3
WebInstitute for Strategic Dialogue EN 3
WebAegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 DE 3

News items from this source (3)

  • AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 2)
  • AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 8)
  • AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 4)
TelegramTelegram: Коммерсантъ RU 2
TelegramTelegram: Новая газета Европа RU 2
TelegramTelegram: Eva Herman Offiziell DE 2
TelegramTelegram: War Monitor EN 2
WebUkraina.ru RU 2
XX: @ChathamHouse EN 2
TelegramTelegram: Рыбарь RU 2

News items from this source (2) t.me

TelegramTelegram: Björn Höcke DE 2
XX: @TheStudyofWar EN 2
TelegramTelegram: Дмитрий Медведев RU 2
WebCNN EN 2
WebBloomberg EN 2
TelegramTelegram: OSINTdefender EN 2
TelegramTelegram: Der III. Weg (Der Dritte Weg) DE 2
TelegramTelegram: AfDFraktionimBundestag DE 2
XX: @RUSI_org EN 2
XX: @RALee85 EN 2
WebRT EN 2
WebCeMAS DE 2
WebDFRLab EN 2

News items from this source (2) dfrlab.org

TelegramTelegram: TASS NEWS 🇷🇺 🇩🇪 RU 1
TelegramTelegram: STERNENKO UK 1
TelegramTelegram: Intel Slava EN 1
TelegramTelegram: Readovka RU 1
WebKyiv Post EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.kyivpost.com

WebRossijskaja Gaseta RU 1
WebRIA Novosti RU 1
WebEuromaidan Press EN 1
WebNBC News EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.nbcnews.com

TelegramTelegram: Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка" RU 1
WebAlethea EN 1
TelegramTelegram: Defense Express UK 1
TelegramTelegram: ЕП. Економічні хроніки війни UK 1
WebWirtschaftsWoche DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.wiwo.de

TelegramTelegram/Rybar RU 1
WebFrance 24 FR 1

News items from this source (1) www.france24.com

WebCarnegie Endowment EN 1

News items from this source (1) carnegieendowment.org

TelegramTelegram: Сладков+ RU 1
WebАНТИКОР RU 1
Webt-online DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.t-online.de

TelegramTelegram: 💥BEREZOVIEW (Taras Berezovets) WAR IN UKRAINE UK 1
WebRT English EN 1

News items from this source (1) rt-english.com

XX: @MarkGaleotti EN 1
WebWetterauer Zeitung DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.wetterauer-zeitung.de

WebKomsomolskaja Prawda RU 1
WebPBS NewsHour EN 1
XX: @gmfus EN 1
Webpolisphere.eu DE 1

News items from this source (1) polisphere.eu

WebInsightNews EN 1

News items from this source (1) insightnews.media

WebПерший бізнесовий RU 1
WebNewsGuard Reality Check EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.newsguardrealitycheck.com

WebGraphika EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.graphika.com

WebClemson Media Forensics Hub EN 1
WebMimikama DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.mimikama.org

WebCenter for Democracy and Technology EN 1
WebRTVI.US RU 1
WebCORRECTIV DE 1

News items from this source (1) correctiv.org

WebNewsGuard EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.newsguardtech.com

WebTable.Briefings EN 1
WebThe Insider EN 1
Webit-boltwise DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.it-boltwise.de

WebИнтерфакс RU 1
WebБИЗНЕС Online — Новости Казани RU 1
WebИнтернет-журнал "Чеснок" RU 1
WebHarvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review EN 1

News items from this source (1) misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu

WebVerfassungsschutz DE 1

News items from this source (1) www.verfassungsschutz.de

WebEDMO EN 1

News items from this source (1) edmo.eu

WebEUvsDisinfo EN 1

News items from this source (1) euvsdisinfo.eu

WebCheckFirst EN 1

News items from this source (1) checkfirst.network

WebDeutscher Bundestag DE 1

News items from this source (1) dserver.bundestag.de

WebTRT Russian. RU 1
WebОНТ RU 1
WebEEAS/EUvsDisinfo EN 1

News items from this source (1) euvsdisinfo.eu

WebGLOBSEC EN 1

News items from this source (1) www.globsec.org

TelegramTelegram: QUERDENKEN DE 1

News items from this source (1) t.me

WebThe Blueprint RU 1
WebRTVI RU 1
WebForbes.ru RU 1
WebРадио Свобода RU 1
WebBBC RU 1

Cited sources

Footnotes from the report

  • [1] Verfassungsschutz https://www.verfassungsschutz.de/SharedDocs/hintergruende/DE/spionage-und-prolife ...
  • [2] France 24 https://www.france24.com/fr/info-en-continu/20261014-matriochka-storm-1516-les-m% ...
  • [3] X: @TheStudyofWar https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2111072456911815126
  • [4] X: @TheStudyofWar https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2110402506014523714
  • [5] X: @RUSI_org https://x.com/RUSI_org/status/2110315190864519203
  • [6] X: @EUvsDisinfo https://x.com/EUvsDisinfo/status/2109232990450594122
  • [7] X: @RALee85 https://x.com/JimmySecUK/status/2109922233556820236
  • [8] X: @RALee85 https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/2109729545377005626
  • [9] RTVI.US https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxQNzFXcTRnWWRyVzhjOF9NMHU1NUhz ...
  • [10] Alethea https://alethea.com/insights/operation-doppelg%C3%A4nger-inside-the-russian-influ ...
  • [11] Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-10-16/russian-bots-manipulate-view-c ...
  • [12] CeMAS https://cemas.io/blog/desinformation-vor-landtagswahlen
  • [13] Correctiv https://correctiv.org/aktuelles/russland-ukraine-2/2026/09/24/russischer-kriegska ...
  • [14] Carnegie Endowment https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2026/10/russia-AI-political ...
  • [15] Correctiv https://correctiv.org/faktencheck/hintergrund/2026/03/06/gefaelschtes-correctiv-v ...
  • [16] t-online https://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/deutschland/parteien/id_101474264/desinformat ...
  • [17] Correctiv https://correctiv.org/aktuelles/politik-2/2026/09/09/pro-russischer-block-aus-afd ...
  • [18] EUvsDisinfo https://euvsdisinfo.eu/new-eeas-ccd-report-exposes-russian-fimi-targeting-ukraine ...
  • [19] NBC News https://www.nbcnews.com/world/ukraine/ukraine-starlink-restrictions-military-inte ...
  • [20] PBS NewsHour https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-strikes-deal-with-putin-for-russian-dies ...
  • [21] polisphere.eu https://polisphere.eu/politticker/storm-1516-nimmt-zunehmend-frankreich-und-deuts ...
  • [22] Table.Briefings https://table.media/en/africa/news/cemas-study-how-russia-is-seeking-to-discredit ...
  • [23] RT English https://rt-english.com/news/647317-trump-putin-diesel-deal-west/
  • [24] RIA Novosti https://ria.ru/20261018/starshield-2125188714.html
  • [25] Mimikama https://www.mimikama.org/matrjoschka-gefaelschte-medienvideos-wahlkampf/
  • [26] InsightNews https://insightnews.media/russian-disinformation-becomes-a-structural-threat-to-e ...
  • [27] Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell https://t.me/EvaHermanOffiziell/237721
  • [28] AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 2) Document from the Monitor knowledge base, not publicly available
  • [29] AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 8) Document from the Monitor knowledge base, not publicly available
  • [30] AegisSight, Kognitive Resilienz für Deutschland, Vorstudie vom 17. Mai 2026 (S. 4) Document from the Monitor knowledge base, not publicly available
  • [31] WirtschaftsWoche https://www.wiwo.de/politik/ausland/diesel-deal-die-absurden-drohungen-nach-donal ...
  • [32] Telegram: Freie Sachsen https://t.me/freiesachsen/13375
  • [33] Telegram: Freie Sachsen https://t.me/freiesachsen/13374
  • [34] Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin https://t.me/CompactMagazin/47112
  • [35] Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin https://t.me/CompactMagazin/47092
  • [36] Telegram: Eva Herman Offiziell https://t.me/EvaHermanOffiziell/237705
  • [37] Telegram: Björn Höcke https://t.me/BjoernHoeckeAfD/3686
  • [38] Telegram: Intel Slava https://t.me/intelslava/96602
  • [39] Telegram/Rybar https://t.me/s/rybar
  • [40] Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin https://t.me/CompactMagazin/47121
  • [41] Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin https://t.me/CompactMagazin/47114
  • [42] Telegram: COMPACT-Magazin https://t.me/CompactMagazin/47078
  • [43] Перший бізнесовий https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6AFBVV95cUxQXy14VU9vWnZyQ192RzZ6T2tXVXRJ ...
  • [44] Graphika https://www.graphika.com/insights/russia-aligned-influence-operation-targets-us-m ...
  • [45] Institute for Strategic Dialogue https://www.isdglobal.org/publication/behind-the-curtain-unveiling-pro-kremlin-ec ...
  • [46] Institute for Strategic Dialogue https://www.isdglobal.org/digital-dispatch/coordinated-disinformation-network-use ...
  • [47] DFRLab https://dfrlab.org/2026/04/08/pravda-in-the-pipeline/
  • [48] NewsGuard https://www.newsguardtech.com/special-reports/the-who-and-how-of-ten-years-of-rus ...
  • [49] CheckFirst https://checkfirst.network/influence-by-design-how-meta-accepted-russian-propagan ...
  • [50] Deutscher Bundestag https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/21/059/2105967.pdf
  • [51] CNN https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE9mMmFPOXpwcE1uUEt6My1seGM5T1Zv ...
  • [52] Telegram: AUF1 https://t.me/auf1tv/21855
  • [53] Telegram: Der III. Weg https://t.me/DerDritteWeg/9713
  • [54] АНТИКОР https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0AFBVV95cUxOLTdIQzFWY256bWhxZU1NTHJWbVRV ...
  • [55] X: @nicolange_ https://x.com/nicolange_/status/2108478181283868993
  • [56] Telegram: The Kyiv Independent https://t.me/KyivIndependent_official/56201
  • [57] CNN https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/16/politics/ukraine-trump-russia-starlink
  • [58] Telegram: AUF1 https://t.me/auf1tv/21871
  • [59] Telegram: Der III. Weg https://t.me/DerDritteWeg/9692
  • [60] X: @EUvsDisinfo https://x.com/EUvsDisinfo/status/2108192167189778443
  • [61] X: @MarkGaleotti https://x.com/MarkGaleotti/status/2109294846468878452
  • [62] X: @CarloMasala1 https://x.com/CarloMasala1/status/2109296758228480041
  • [63] X: @ChristopherJM https://x.com/ChristopherJM/status/2109291090092167567
  • [64] X: @CarloMasala1 https://x.com/CarloMasala1/status/2108972932366016758
  • [65] X: @JenniferJJacobs https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2108962266041217192
  • [66] X: @JimmySecUK https://x.com/JimmySecUK/status/2111430644333228085
  • [67] X: @nicolange_ https://x.com/nicolange_/status/2110663484677698026
  • [68] Telegram: OSINTdefender https://t.me/OSINTdefender/20519
  • [69] Telegram: The Kyiv Independent https://t.me/KyivIndependent_official/56248
  • [70] Telegram: The Kyiv Independent https://t.me/KyivIndependent_official/56246

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