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Latest developments with sources
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Roland Koch, former CDU health minister, declares publicly that there is no better Chancellor than Merz and warns against a chancellor swap.
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Support for Chancellor Merz within the CDU is crumbling. One faction emphasises the poor mood, another argues that a chancellor swap would not solve any problems, while potential successors hold back.
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In the RTL/ntv-Trendbarometer, the CDU/CSU falls to 20 percent, its lowest value in five years, while Chancellor Merz continues to lose personal popularity.
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Chancellor Merz invites the CDU leadership at short notice to a meeting on the election night of the state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (16 September) in Berlin, which is interpreted as a signal of an expected clear party reaction after the elections.
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According to an INSA poll, 78 percent of those surveyed reject Friedrich Merz as Chancellor, including a majority of voters from their own Union parties.
Summary
Support for Chancellor Friedrich Merz is under considerable pressure. According to an INSA poll, 78 per cent of respondents no longer see Merz as the right chancellor, with even many Union voters rejecting him by a majority 111 T-Online11. In the RTL/ntv trend barometer CDU/CSU falls to 20 per cent, reaching a five-year low, while dissatisfaction is particularly evident in assessments of the chancellor as a person 8. Berliner Morgenpost speaks of a 'tottering chancellor' and lists what it sees as the seven biggest problems 23. New polling setbacks for the CDU and Merz are also being reported from Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 29.
According to INSA data analysis as evaluated by BILD, if Merz were to fall many constituencies would potentially be winnable by the AfD 7. A report by T-Online from the East election campaign in early September paints a distant picture of the chancellor's relationship with voters on the ground 30.
Elections as a turning point for Merz
State elections will take place in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern this coming Sunday 46 Sueddeutsche9 n-tv Politik69. Merz has summoned the CDU federal board to Berlin for election night, which is interpreted as a sign of an expected clear party reaction following the elections 910 T-Online10. Süddeutsche Zeitung reports that the Union is preparing for "the worst" in light of alarming polls 6. The ZDF report raises the question of whether election Sunday itself will bring a decision about the chancellor's future, and points to scenarios that have been circulating for weeks such as coup, chancellor swap or confidence vote 4.
Ntv outlines five scenarios for a possible chancellor swap 20, Berliner Zeitung speaks of a showdown and names six discussed potential successors 21, and wort.lu describes the situation as "six days in which Merz is a chancellor on standby" 27.
Support within the CDU has eroded
Within the CDU support for Merz is crumbling, as the Tagesschau describes in an analysis. One faction emphasizes the poor mood, another argues that a Chancellor swap would solve no problems. Open criticism remains largely anonymous, and potential successors hold back 213 tagesschau13. The FAZ reports under the headline "Brutal, the way Merz is discussed" of rapidly shifting power dynamics and a stalled Chancellor along with his party 16. In another FAZ commentary on the so-called Stumpp farce, a loss of authority of the Chancellor is diagnosed even from his own party 28.
RP Online speaks of the fact that the Chancellor is being undermined 25. According to a STERN report, Saxony-Anhalt's Minister-President Reiner Haseloff recommends to Merz an "empathetic address" 26.
Merz receives backing from Roland Koch, who publicly declares there is no better Chancellor than Merz and warns against a Chancellor swap 18. A report in the Berliner Zeitung speaks to the contrary, suggesting Merz is apparently preparing a withdrawal 21.
Coalition is fundamentally shaken
Die Zeit takes a more fundamental view. The chancellor and the coalition are in question. An end to the black-red coalition would not mean the end of democracy. Lessons for a fresh start could already be drawn now 15. The NZZ, classified as Western liberal, concludes that the CDU and Merz have "only poor options left" 24. Süddeutsche Zeitung asks in its podcast whether Merz will survive the coming election Sunday and points to threatened losses in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 17. BILD-Zeitung, classified as boulevard with conservative leanings, discusses in a vodcast the political consequences of a possible chancellor's fall 7.
As a counterpoint to predominantly critical reporting, ntv reports that Merz received applause at a discussion event with young people in Berlin-Prenzlauer Berg 19. Entertainer Harald Schmidt evaluates the criticism of Merz in an article in Berliner Zeitung as "petty" and hopes that the chancellor will get through the legislative period 22. News.de reports that the CDU is considering a "coalition collapse as a last resort", but this representation does not appear in the other available sources in this form 12.
Merz announces relief measures
Shortly before the state elections, Merz announces according to Süddeutsche Zeitung relief on fuel prices and also cancels his USA trip planned for the coming week 6. The fact check rates the cancellation of the USA trip as well as the announced fuel price relief as not yet independently confirmed.
Sources analysed for this situation, by number of news items
This overview shows which sources the Monitor analysed for this situation. Being listed is neither an assessment nor an endorsement.
WebBerliner Morgenpost DE 7
News items from this source (7) news.google.com
- Der taumelnde Kanzler: Das sind die sieben größten Probleme des Friedrich Merz - Berliner Morgenpost
- Angeschlagener Kanzler: Europa droht jetzt ein Merz-Problem - Berliner Morgenpost
- Söder nicht mehr beliebtester CSU‑Politiker – Kanzler Merz weit abgeschlagen - Berliner Morgenpost
- Mittelstand attackiert Kanzler Merz: „Fehlt an Führungsprofil“ - Berliner Morgenpost
- Diese Umfrage zeigt, wie schlimm es wirklich um Friedrich Merz steht - Berliner Morgenpost
- Aktuelle Umfrage: Union erreicht Fünf-Jahres-Tief – Merz unbeliebt wie nie - Berliner Morgenpost
- Wüst statt Merz? Umfrage zeigt, wie die Deutschen zum Kanzlertausch stehen - Berliner Morgenpost
WebWELT DE 5
News items from this source (5) news.google.com
- Insa-Umfrage: Selbst viele Unionswähler gegen Merz – 78 Prozent sehen ihn nicht mehr als den richtigen Kanzler - WELT
- „Ich bin fest überzeugt, dass er Kanzler bleibt“ – Söder stellt sich hinter Merz - WELT
- Manfred Güllner: Forsa-Chef kritisiert Merz – „Als Kanzler macht er viel falsch“ - WELT
- Umfrage: Die überraschende Antwort auf die Frage, wo die Merz-Wähler heute sind - WELT
- Umfrage: Merz stürzt ab – und landet erstmals im Insa-Politikerranking auf dem letzten Platz - WELT
Webn-tv Politik DE 4
News items from this source (4) www.n-tv.de
WebT-Online DE 4
News items from this source (4) news.google.com
- Kanzler im Umfragetief: Merz ruft Bundesvorstand für Wahlabend zusammen - T-Online
- Friedrich Merz: Selbst Unionswähler lehnen ihn mehrheitlich als Kanzler ab - T-Online
- Langjähriges CDU-Mitglied Michel Friedman: Merz als Kanzler ungeeignet - T-Online
- Menschlicher Kontakt? Nicht vorgesehen – Kanzler Merz im Ost-Wahlkampf - T-Online
WebBILD - Home DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.bild.de
Webtagesschau DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.tagesschau.de
WebBerliner Zeitung DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.berliner-zeitung.de
WebSüddeutsche DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.sueddeutsche.de
WebRP Online DE 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebNews.de DE 2
WebFAZ DE 2
News items from this source (2) www.faz.net
WebWatson DE 2
News items from this source (2) news.google.com
WebZeit DE 1
News items from this source (1) www.zeit.de
WebSTERN.de DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebZDF heute DE 1
News items from this source (1) www.zdfheute.de
Webwort.lu DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebNZZ DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebYouTube DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebDIE ZEIT DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebSZ.de DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebWiWo DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebWEB.DE DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebDeutschlandfunk DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebRND.de DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
WebZDFheute DE 1
News items from this source (1) news.google.com
Cited sources
Footnotes from the report
- [1] WELT https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwJBVV95cUxOdjNDU3dxLUt0bG8zeHZlVk9aOGRM ...
- [2] tagesschau https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/union-kanzlerfrage-analyse-100.html ...
- [4] ZDF heute https://www.zdfheute.de/politik/deutschland/merz-cdu-kritik-vertrauensfrage-wahle ...
- [6] Sueddeutsche https://www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/cdu-berlin-mecklenburg-vorpommern-landtagswah ...
- [7] BILD https://www.bild.de/politik/der-politik-vodcast-vertraulich-die-karte-die-den-kan ...
- [8] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-faellt-auf-Fuenf-Jahres-Tiefstwert-Merz-unbelie ...
- [9] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Merz-laedt-CDU-Spitze-zu-Sitzung-am-Wahlabend-ein-id3 ...
- [10] T-Online https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi5AFBVV95cUxQczFWUDloZkRfYlVTdlJxTzE3SmRy ...
- [11] T-Online https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6AFBVV95cUxPd1lvd1RJRDRfNmRjeERkcjE4ZEl4 ...
- [12] News.de https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi8wFBVV95cUxORUphZ3VoU1dLa3NKZC0yOUZoMG45 ...
- [13] tagesschau https://www.tagesschau.de/video/video-1649218.html
- [15] Zeit https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2026-09/demokratie-parteiensystem-krise-b ...
- [16] FAZ https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/cdu-im-dilemma-friedrich-merz-und-der- ...
- [17] Sueddeutsche https://www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/podcast-nachrichten-auf-den-punkt-merz-cdu-kr ...
- [18] BILD https://www.bild.de/politik/inland/roland-koch-prescht-vor-es-gibt-keinen-bessere ...
- [19] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/In-diesem-Keller-bekommt-Merz-noch-Applaus-id31309979 ...
- [20] n-tv Politik https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Fuenf-Szenarien-fuer-einen-Kanzlertausch-id31307842.h ...
- [21] Berliner Zeitung https://www.berliner-zeitung.de/article/merz-bereitet-wohl-rueckzug-vor-am-wahlso ...
- [22] Berliner Zeitung https://www.berliner-zeitung.de/article/harald-schmidt-ueber-die-kritik-an-friedr ...
- [23] Berliner Morgenpost https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0AFBVV95cUxOb3VVRDRac19zSUlNaFNJcGQxX2pX ...
- [24] NZZ https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxObmM4Z0pLM3ZPUTE3WDA4ZG1FWDY1 ...
- [25] RP Online https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxObW5tV2tWMDVrM2NpaTh3YTJOUzhp ...
- [26] STERN.de https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwFBVV95cUxOakZFMUhRM3gwa05PQTZ5UDRzMEJr ...
- [27] wort.lu https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxObzV2YzBsRW83Z2ZsWHN6ZGdERGkw ...
- [28] FAZ https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/merz-und-die-cdu-die-stumpp-farce-ist- ...
- [29] Watson https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNdXlyZDRnVk1ZcDQ3WGxoeDNtNWFF ...
- [30] T-Online https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi4AFBVV95cUxQeXozWHVNVlpnamdBY2VGUG5ZTDFT ...